TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,875,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,564,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,875,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 10,209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes61c2,011,323$1,224,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786,726.142548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked No39c1,741,665$686,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686,807.553360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No39c999,608$384,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384,864.1477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No38c907,247$346,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346,607.725942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c655,477$251,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,443.1856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes62c591,188$364,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227,133.311,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No39c574,004$222,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,423.2815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes63c555,749$350,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204,831.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No39c550,530$213,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,714.1774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No38c515,949$196,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196,060.537343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No19c515,014$100,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,231.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a02…3b38backed No38c511,105$194,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,219.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed No39c399,998$155,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,499.224753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No39c399,994$153,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,997.738932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No37c397,944$147,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,239.2133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44f…7842backed No39c393,640$151,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,889.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Yes62c390,000$240,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,175650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No3c307,596$9,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,227.8914544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes61c289,998$177,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,299.317346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No38c268,586$102,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,062.752,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked No15c267,694$39,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,799.758521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…0832backed Yes63c238,095$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,095.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed No3c206,481$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No8c203,370$16,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,535.6420839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes62c195,117$121,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,075.4517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes63c183,438$114,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,773.712,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c178,526$36,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,937.571,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No38c177,437$67,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,51216244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes64c173,202$110,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,435.2529916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes62c168,944$104,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,198.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No38c167,981$64,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,581.0211642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes61c165,872$100,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,519.353441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No3c161,066$5,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.9925821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0e…a019backed Yes61c160,845$98,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,925.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes63c158,730$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,730.166543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Yes62c150,000$92,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,3752669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes64c150,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.9917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes61c146,939$90,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,938.7818740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c145,667$55,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,253.881,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No37c142,535$53,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,395.2629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No39c140,677$54,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,287.2414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed No39c129,800$50,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,6229747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No9c120,000$10,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,653.1727039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes62c118,701$73,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,562.6219332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No40c118,534$46,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,863.428845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c116,954$81,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,669.9879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No39c110,299$43,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,418.2117852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes61c100,884$61,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,146.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes62c100,766$62,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,502.125322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes62c100,000$61,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,5004355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes60c100,000$59,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,249.9721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes62c100,000$62,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,999.9415128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes62c89,069$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,068.833925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No38c84,128$32,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,085.236645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No37c83,552$31,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,173.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes62c80,972$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,971.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes61c79,999$48,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,174.797455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes63c79,365$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,365.089045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No24c77,324$18,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,457.8113037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes70c76,226$53,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,885.9637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Yes61c75,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,999.912560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes61c73,997$44,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,069.229345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked No38c71,299$27,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,433.873534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No33c69,849$23,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,160.177343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No12c64,902$8,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,008.2119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes61c63,777$39,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,713.658847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes62c63,500$39,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,447.513725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked No37c62,707$23,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,328.673718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes61c60,000$36,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,399.998258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed No21c58,646$12,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,359.958037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes61c56,390$34,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,758.053243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed No39c55,573$21,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,673.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes63c55,270$34,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,450.0111421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes61c54,051$33,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,929.7736247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No40c53,677$21,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,312.9242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes62c53,241$33,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,182.5165835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed Yes62c51,680$32,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,638.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes61c50,895$30,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,103.5314843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Yes62c50,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes61c50,000$30,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,75017447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Yes63c50,000$31,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,749.998063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No38c49,990$18,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,796.17859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Yes61c49,586$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,586.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c49,370$16,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,347.7128133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No38c48,599$18,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,470.5416835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Yes61c48,212$29,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,043.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes61c47,624$29,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,525.826159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed No8c44,791$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.717432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…edd8backed Yes63c44,567$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,566.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Yes61c44,490$26,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,573.555745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed No2c40,081$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49eb…cf37backed Yes62c40,000$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes61c40,000$24,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.974436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes79c39,777$31,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,180.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked Yes62c38,968$24,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,936.3524939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Yes63c38,934$24,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,405.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No34c37,874$12,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,879.2622933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes78c37,334$29,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,123.4923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No39c37,200$14,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4157642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No37c37,149$13,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,902.1929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.