Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5300759dc2089042380795fe7384010a6b6ebdf9e6da7ed3f786d9a5f61c563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,595,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,678,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,595,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,979 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 79c | 542,343$425,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,448.44 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 33c | 355,036$116,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,042.19 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 24c | 270,831$64,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,720.64 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 13c | 263,841$34,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,893.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed No | 0c | 252,842$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 26c | 209,226$55,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,290.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…5968backed Yes | 27c | 182,667$48,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,844.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 49c | 182,279$89,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,572.79 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 19c | 157,996$29,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,647.27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…9ce3backed No | 19c | 153,069$28,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,551.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 2c | 138,929$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…d746backed No | 72c | 135,701$97,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,790.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 118,528$26,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,887.1 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…8d3ebacked Yes | 70c | 110,150$77,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,552.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed No | 0c | 105,030$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…26d5backed No | 0c | 101,027$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked No | 19c | 100,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 66c | 98,818$64,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,750.49 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 78c | 91,082$70,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,471.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 17c | 89,015$14,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,884.63 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 29c | 85,237$24,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,937.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 28c | 84,872$23,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,416.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 31c | 76,725$23,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,408.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 54c | 76,421$40,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,993.13 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 27c | 74,725$19,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,881.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 54c | 74,519$40,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,515.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 18c | 73,810$13,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,578.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 16c | 71,247$11,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,613.31 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No | 35c | 68,414$23,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,651.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked No | 11c | 65,230$7,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,392.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 22c | 62,250$13,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,979.48 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 19c | 60,409$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.49 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 16c | 59,467$9,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,244.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d782backed Yes | 40c | 58,974$23,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,108.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…2aefbacked No | 14c | 56,861$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 49c | 54,699$26,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,933.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…93bbbacked No | 0c | 54,410$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 29c | 51,265$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 21c | 51,255$10,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,786.13 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…75e9backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…93dabacked No | 0c | 49,480$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 40c | 47,994$19,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,062.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 20c | 47,181$9,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,269.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…4665backed No | 45c | 46,250$20,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,667.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 36c | 44,725$16,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,144.93 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…a126backed No | 74c | 40,923$30,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,333.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed No | 3c | 40,680$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 16c | 40,255$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7b…12d8backed No | 0c | 40,085$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…9001backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 33c | 39,751$12,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,936.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9654backed No | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 12c | 38,419$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.61 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…d55bbacked Yes | 73c | 38,208$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,207.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…8c24backed No | 5c | 37,051$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 31c | 36,845$11,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,512.11 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…ea04backed Yes | 70c | 36,527$25,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,951.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…8d71backed No | 6c | 36,483$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 7c | 35,043$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed No | 27c | 34,000$9,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,214.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 62c | 33,805$21,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,764.02 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed Yes | 80c | 33,433$26,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…260abacked No | 67c | 33,093$22,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,090.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 32c | 32,176$10,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,190.15 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 17c | 31,243$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.54per pick | 35cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 27c | 31,069$8,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,391.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 23c | 30,430$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 31c | 30,385$9,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,289.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…309ebacked No | 39c | 30,041$11,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,610.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 47c | 29,678$13,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,878.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 22c | 29,275$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,309.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…c532backed Yes | 61c | 28,900$17,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,213.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…d07abacked No | 39c | 28,900$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…cc31backed Yes | 37c | 28,775$10,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,223.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed No | 10c | 28,690$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 65c | 28,179$18,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,993.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed No | 6c | 27,576$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 54c | 27,322$14,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,642.13 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 30c | 27,212$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,164.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…2318backed No | 10c | 27,000$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 27c | 26,688$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,177.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…1efebacked No | 75c | 26,666$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked Yes | 79c | 26,277$20,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 74c | 24,819$18,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…8e6fbacked No | 13c | 24,249$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 14c | 24,218$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.19 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4bb5backed No | 18c | 24,047$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…e2adbacked No | 7c | 23,916$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 78c | 23,221$18,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…27a2backed Yes | 80c | 23,184$18,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 8c | 22,754$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.28 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 67c | 22,553$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 58c | 22,534$13,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,022.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c803backed No | 51c | 22,300$11,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,471.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 16c | 22,262$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.47 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 3c | 21,959$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed No | 6c | 21,599$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 66c | 21,526$14,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.42 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed No | 24c | 21,396$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 4c | 21,003$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.