Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ef931481efcd612937079d4533a2feff45e720719dede6ef7b129aefe315a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,031,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,828,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,031,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x401f…4afbbacked No | 0c | 205,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…340dbacked No | 1c | 167,749$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…f63fbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…a4d8backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 96,487$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed No | 0c | 78,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed No | 0c | 63,009$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…cec5backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…994fbacked No | 0c | 49,980$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 9c | 43,140$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.87 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked No | 1c | 36,768$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 1c | 31,945$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…2c93backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc9…5b7dbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…1580backed No | 0c | 21,673$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 14c | 19,867$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 68c | 18,084$12,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.8 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 15c | 16,995$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.21 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…6d55backed No | 1c | 16,350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 5c | 14,210$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.04 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a867backed No | 0c | 13,090$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…e800backed No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 50c | 12,802$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…3d77backed No | 0c | 12,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a212backed No | 0c | 11,860$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…7aa6backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…2e62backed No | 1c | 10,436$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 7c | 10,297$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.76 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…15f3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb043…20b6backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…290bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…61d5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…d87bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…c01ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…8cd5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d499backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 9,850$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed No | 1c | 9,770$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed No | 53c | 9,405$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…a06fbacked No | 19c | 7,807$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed No | 16c | 7,200$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…2383backed Yes | 78c | 6,392$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff8…25b1backed No | 0c | 5,367$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 43c | 5,228$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 22c | 4,909$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.8 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 7c | 4,893$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…a745backed No | 29c | 4,579$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed Yes | 74c | 4,568$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 12c | 4,404$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.46 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 42c | 4,383$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked No | 35c | 4,284$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…838abacked No | 2c | 4,170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 11c | 4,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 17c | 4,037$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.97 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 24c | 3,565$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.13 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 6c | 3,525$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…867fbacked No | 13c | 3,361$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 30c | 3,108$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…e13cbacked Yes | 68c | 3,099$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked No | 18c | 2,803$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…7041backed No | 38c | 2,617$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 14c | 2,614$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked No | 8c | 2,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed No | 22c | 2,449$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…a10dbacked No | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 4c | 2,372$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…7b49backed No | 43c | 2,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 80c | 2,294$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 3c | 2,222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…03a4backed Yes | 45c | 2,199$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 5c | 2,095$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…a126backed No | 53c | 2,078$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 19c | 2,019$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,013$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…0356backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 3c | 1,917$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…cefbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,871$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 30c | 1,831$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.02 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,751$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f4…c328backed No | 1c | 1,739$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 21c | 1,733$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed No | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 55c | 1,628$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.77 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 1,467$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed No | 55c | 1,420$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 1,400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 12c | 1,328$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…f0b4backed No | 20c | 1,263$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 34c | 1,249$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…5dbdbacked No | 1c | 1,248$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 7c | 1,246$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 1,208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 18c | 1,201$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…146ebacked No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…f6a5backed No | 1c | 1,126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 16c | 1,056$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…986cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.