Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51fea7e9afd8de5f46872f028483ff6fb32fecfe0794b9b71822c6d2d896d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,841,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,567,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,841,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 871 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 22c | 127,180$28,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,052.99 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 99,872$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 2c | 79,263$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.29 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 10c | 76,873$7,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 78c | 29,842$23,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 25c | 28,337$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,958.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 78c | 24,997$19,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked No | 67c | 24,762$16,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 19c | 23,955$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.22 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 16c | 21,204$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.01 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 0c | 20,819$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 8c | 20,113$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 19,515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked Yes | 24c | 18,878$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 17c | 15,695$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.96 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 15,446$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.61 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…5580backed Yes | 15c | 14,471$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 24c | 13,056$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…50e9backed Yes | 11c | 12,926$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 30c | 12,910$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.96 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…74a1backed Yes | 27c | 12,720$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 8c | 12,219$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 74c | 12,088$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…1622backed No | 75c | 11,918$8,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…83dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 9,700$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 7c | 9,232$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 79c | 9,162$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.35 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 9c | 9,081$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 8,845$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.73 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 13c | 8,436$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.08 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 61c | 8,155$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 2c | 8,104$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 15c | 8,093$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.17 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…2824backed Yes | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…f90ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,980$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,929$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.97 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 38c | 6,794$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…e111backed Yes | 8c | 6,532$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed No | 74c | 6,409$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 9c | 6,301$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.59 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed No | 75c | 6,136$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 20c | 6,028$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,829$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 2c | 5,793$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 37c | 5,460$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 31c | 5,438$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.51 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 78c | 5,300$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 15c | 5,214$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.79 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 17c | 5,199$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.91 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Yes | 20c | 5,153$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 18c | 5,093$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 55c | 5,035$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…94c8backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…3f61backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 11c | 4,889$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…6ee1backed Yes | 23c | 4,686$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 57c | 4,654$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.74 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…426fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,370$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 6c | 4,328$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.69 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 34c | 4,300$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.05 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 12c | 4,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…82d9backed No | 48c | 4,190$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,109$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 41c | 4,096$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,777$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 3,772$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed Yes | 62c | 3,700$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…2f29backed Yes | 21c | 3,465$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 25c | 3,417$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,361$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.59 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,300$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.56 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 35c | 3,281$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…655cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,188$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 29c | 3,143$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes | 29c | 3,009$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 6c | 3,002$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…685ebacked No | 70c | 2,854$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 58c | 2,824$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0903…4cb0backed No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 2,769$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 72c | 2,753$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…b56bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,660$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…aeaabacked Yes | 22c | 2,640$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…0eebbacked Yes | 14c | 2,636$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 36c | 2,615$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed No | 80c | 2,600$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 2,564$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…aaa1backed No | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 33c | 2,546$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +329.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…4af1backed Yes | 60c | 2,505$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 32c | 2,501$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.