Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64f880b571d7a70d858649d30f0843aa57307e304aeb617349df74ce34d044e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,966,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,504,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,966,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 7c | 373,589$27,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,860.56 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 5c | 210,434$11,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,358.31 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 64c | 209,636$134,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,671.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 12c | 124,378$15,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,009.03 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 15c | 111,931$16,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,449.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 108,831$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.98 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 53c | 100,173$53,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,076.26 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 76c | 83,462$63,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,402.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 45c | 64,517$28,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,910.05 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 34c | 62,194$21,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,121.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…d55bbacked Yes | 71c | 60,879$42,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,932.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 56,910$13,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,688.76 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 45c | 54,275$24,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,050.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 51c | 51,595$26,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,137.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 52c | 45,238$23,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,742.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked Yes | 42c | 44,108$18,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,523.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 69c | 43,242$29,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,390.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed No | 79c | 43,152$33,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,244.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 10c | 41,773$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.03 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 17c | 41,127$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.86 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed No | 68c | 33,801$22,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,857.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 44c | 32,861$14,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,622.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked No | 54c | 31,859$17,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,789.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 54c | 31,491$16,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,619.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 43c | 31,150$13,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,335.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…76e4backed Yes | 20c | 30,854$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 3c | 30,709$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 13c | 29,365$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.07 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 56c | 26,794$15,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,064.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 77c | 26,395$20,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.02 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 41c | 26,230$10,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,858.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 2c | 25,556$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 50c | 25,300$12,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,568.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe043…faa2backed Yes | 19c | 24,091$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 79c | 23,229$18,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.89 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 73c | 22,075$16,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.88 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Yes | 10c | 20,431$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 30c | 20,315$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked No | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 32c | 19,263$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 79c | 19,216$15,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 55c | 19,098$10,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,613.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 31c | 18,969$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 6c | 18,642$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.66 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9b5cbacked Yes | 11c | 18,508$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 34c | 18,181$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,028.92 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,808$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…54e4backed Yes | 20c | 17,703$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 16,595$12,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.79 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 14c | 16,462$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.09 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…0decbacked Yes | 43c | 16,435$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,026.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…fd33backed Yes | 62c | 16,094$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 8c | 15,658$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.78 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 23c | 15,518$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 26c | 15,367$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 32c | 14,336$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 13,767$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.41 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Yes | 33c | 13,688$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 28c | 13,668$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.78 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 6c | 13,663$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.09 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 15c | 13,605$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dac…7d5abacked Yes | 77c | 13,547$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 37c | 13,529$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…b75bbacked Yes | 46c | 13,128$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 43c | 13,060$5,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 36c | 13,043$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 73c | 12,991$9,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.55 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 44c | 12,900$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 49c | 12,877$6,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 23c | 12,742$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked No | 53c | 12,675$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 12c | 12,649$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 60c | 12,608$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…887ebacked Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…3144backed Yes | 2c | 12,466$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 8c | 12,145$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.79 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 14c | 12,110$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…577cbacked Yes | 49c | 12,051$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…b24bbacked Yes | 51c | 11,808$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bf7dbacked Yes | 36c | 11,175$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes | 38c | 11,043$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 42c | 11,020$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.17 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 8c | 10,862$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.84 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 69c | 10,500$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.97 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 77c | 10,152$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.81 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 47c | 10,134$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.54per pick | 35cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 47c | 10,099$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.48 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 77c | 10,018$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked No | 56c | 10,005$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…cf37backed Yes | 3c | 9,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 27c | 9,901$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.3 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…7fe9backed Yes | 8c | 9,886$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 59c | 9,627$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…eb83backed Yes | 40c | 9,588$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,543$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.77 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 70c | 9,540$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.52 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.