Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004e1d2a652006788638c451a127ba258c46abca42dc99fdcdc619bbeb9d19d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,120,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,120,190 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f0d…99aabacked No | 0c | 94,266$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 3c | 79,497$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed No | 1c | 64,451$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…a2f8backed No | 4c | 52,316$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 8c | 44,499$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.76 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 33,045$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.84 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…83d0backed No | 0c | 32,440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…e9babacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed No | 3c | 24,176$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…9ce3backed No | 3c | 22,097$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed No | 1c | 20,849$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.73 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…3583backed No | 1c | 19,582$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…9b67backed No | 2c | 18,428$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…2081backed No | 1c | 16,811$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 5c | 16,516$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.5 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…e0f0backed No | 1c | 15,277$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 12,641$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.31 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…7041backed No | 14c | 12,192$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…48c5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 9,972$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 9,750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 8,591$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…f06cbacked No | 0c | 7,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 7,134$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 4c | 6,894$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.41 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 2c | 6,339$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…bae4backed No | 4c | 6,164$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 6,043$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 5,511$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…37fabacked No | 8c | 5,500$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 6c | 5,202$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…374fbacked No | 2c | 4,135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 8c | 4,066$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…f7c5backed No | 2c | 3,991$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 6c | 3,869$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked No | 18c | 3,637$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 3,516$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked No | 4c | 3,395$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed No | 7c | 2,616$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…2914backed No | 7c | 2,301$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 3c | 2,178$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 13c | 2,002$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.99 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…93e8backed No | 15c | 2,000$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 6c | 2,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 9c | 1,875$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 5c | 1,835$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 3c | 1,673$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 8c | 1,637$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…c059backed No | 7c | 1,578$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 1,539$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ebabacked No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…1e88backed No | 6c | 1,489$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…048cbacked No | 3c | 1,462$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa53…d9c2backed No | 13c | 1,374$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…7d7abacked No | 7c | 1,366$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…5db0backed No | 8c | 1,306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked No | 2c | 1,290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 8c | 1,103$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 16c | 1,098$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…6779backed No | 1c | 1,056$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…1d59backed No | 4c | 1,023$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…54a2backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked No | 11c | 944.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 16c | 942.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 1c | 919.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 910$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…8665backed No | 2c | 906.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed No | 6c | 876.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked No | 2c | 821.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed No | 16c | 812.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 808.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked No | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…0cd8backed No | 6c | 778.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…db9abacked No | 4c | 756.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 14c | 726.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…56b6backed No | 15c | 718.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…5645backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…d012backed No | 10c | 655.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 5c | 649.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…6674backed No | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed No | 4c | 572.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 547$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…1528backed No | 3c | 546$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed No | 14c | 522.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed No | 12c | 521.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…47bfbacked No | 6c | 520.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 12c | 519.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…559ebacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e5…fb20backed No | 9c | 455$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e3…5c79backed No | 9c | 450.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 430.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…3b11backed No | 6c | 410.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…276dbacked No | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed No | 5c | 360.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…251bbacked Yes | 78c | 357.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.