Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322e48d75c5d275c29d9293169d88779e771631e9cf6a845e3027e521f3fd6f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa1a…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 41,571$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 26,992$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 3c | 16,970$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.35 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…a8e2backed Yes | 3c | 13,918$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 11,250$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 10,484$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e4…faf1backed Yes | 1c | 10,220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…e19dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 10,040$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,776$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…a01abacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,006$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…f67cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,831$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…c4a6backed Yes | 8c | 4,757$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 3c | 4,280$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…19c0backed Yes | 3c | 4,265$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,259$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 3,991$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,949$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 3,624$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 3,545$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…5bc0backed Yes | 3c | 3,392$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,352$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,240$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,228$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…143cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…d9eebacked Yes | 4c | 2,800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,437$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,424$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,379$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 5c | 2,283$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 2,237$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…2a7cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,122$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3eebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 1c | 1,980$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,812$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,809$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f29…08c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,682$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…ada7backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…4be0backed Yes | 12c | 1,613$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 1,612$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,596$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,507$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,436$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 2c | 1,131$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 4c | 1,074$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…3176backed Yes | 3c | 1,066$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…7a36backed Yes | 2c | 1,064$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652a…2b93backed Yes | 4c | 1,039$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…f66dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,039$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…c453backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…273cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Yes | 2c | 954.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…daa9backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 813.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 809.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…a58dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…9f08backed Yes | 3c | 686.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 3c | 643.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…7b37backed Yes | 3c | 639.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…763cbacked Yes | 3c | 638.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1b…fba1backed Yes | 3c | 592.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 4c | 543.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 529.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b619backed Yes | 6c | 527.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…a08ebacked Yes | 3c | 517.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…d728backed Yes | 6c | 505.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…edf9backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…c10cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 17c | 478.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 3c | 463.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 5c | 460.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 455$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 441.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…a59dbacked Yes | 16c | 433.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed Yes | 3c | 430.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd505…cd0ebacked Yes | 3c | 430$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…5882backed Yes | 6c | 426.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…3173backed Yes | 3c | 398.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 4c | 383.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +123%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…4201backed Yes | 5c | 381.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 3c | 368.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed No | 72c | 366.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 365.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 28c | 359.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…59a7backed Yes | 4c | 348.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 5c | 332.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 16c | 321.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…3d67backed Yes | 4c | 299.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.