TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff64…3d67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT9444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$201.25
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,415.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,119.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85%+$52.83
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$175.32
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+174%+$635
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+204.4%+$516.8
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$286.14
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.78
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.87
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+140%+$380.56
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.79
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$17.01
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+103.7%+$165.42
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$577.66
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$607.94
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,463Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.7%+$1,505.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44%+$181.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.