Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15fe54fafdeb66a8df8309c6d2caf4582f489127badf61e009ba0474f268b678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Top Esports | 37c | 5,880$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.92 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE | 62c | 2,023$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.3 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team WE | 62c | 1,492$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.32 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Team WE | 62c | 1,456$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Top Esports | 39c | 656.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Top Esports | 26c | 618.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.04 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Team WE | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 342 | 44.7%153 W · 189 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Team WE | 73c | 458.24$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team WE | 62c | 385.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Team WE | 62c | 317$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Top Esports | 33c | 303.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Team WE | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Top Esports | 27c | 240$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Top Esports | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Team WE | 62c | 177.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team WE | 65c | 139.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…c0c1backed Top Esports | 37c | 136.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Top Esports | 34c | 135.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Team WE | 76c | 116$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…887cbacked Top Esports | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Team WE | 62c | 109.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Team WE | 74c | 102.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 211 | 64%135 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Team WE | 68c | 101.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…3d67backed Team WE | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team WE | 35c | 82.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Top Esports | 44c | 82.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Top Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…49e8backed Team WE | 73c | 67.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Team WE | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…a554backed Team WE | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Top Esports | 29c | 57.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE | 72c | 56.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team WE | 68c | 54.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…0a50backed Team WE | 65c | 50.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Team WE | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…d45fbacked Top Esports | 64c | 47.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 209 | 60.8%127 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…1bb2backed Team WE | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team WE | 67c | 45.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…c3babacked Team WE | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Team WE | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team WE | 49c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb8…5260backed Team WE | 79c | 37.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Team WE | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…0f9cbacked Team WE | 69c | 33.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Top Esports | 47c | 32.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…f9d5backed Team WE | 74c | 32.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team WE | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…5797backed Team WE | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team WE | 62c | 23.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Team WE | 72c | 22.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…35dcbacked Team WE | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…81bcbacked Team WE | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.