TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9cc…d45f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20960.8%127 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.19
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.42
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.41
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.28
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.17
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$21.12
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$12.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$12.39
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.23
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+64%+$64.02
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$9.26
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.77
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$309.71
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$312.64
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.42
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$139
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$179.22
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$33.43
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$69.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$19.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.