Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bd2ea11f5bfd09fa6440bda7781236758b37948b577abf1a7e1eeb5e70b18f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $361,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $492,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d06…7910backed Over	25c	122,711$30,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92,275.55	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	78c	89,740$69,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,630.16	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	7c	8,532$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,934.35	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	78c	6,412$5,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,003.9	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under	0c	6,092$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	64c	2,788$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.88	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked Under	77c	2,601$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	45	66.7%30 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	7c	2,500$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.3	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	8c	2,500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	7c	2,484$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,309.97	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	2c	2,083$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	26c	1,372$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.51	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	7c	1,191$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.19	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	2c	883$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.77	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	6c	859.89$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.3	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	16c	855.35$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.84	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	7c	714.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.29	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over	7c	700$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	7c	670.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.98	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	6c	664.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.97	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9cc…d45fbacked Under	78c	644.37$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under	78c	643.75$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over	7c	642.86$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.86	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	15c	571.43$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.71	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Under	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	3c	445.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.43	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	39c	406.6$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.1	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under	9c	400.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.01	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over	8c	400$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	6c	364.04$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.17	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Over	7c	357.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.14	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under	44c	339.97$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.93	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Over	7c	334.86$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.42	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over	49c	334.68$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.34	161	63.4%102 W · 59 L	+25.7wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under	77c	333$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.41	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	72c	315.67$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.46	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over	7c	285.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.71	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	6c	267.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.6	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Under	79c	250.64$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	183	40.4%74 W · 109 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over	6c	241.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.38	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…47d8backed Under	51c	201.55$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.98	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	15c	183.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.1	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Over	7c	175$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.75	288	8%23 W · 265 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	18c	138.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.45	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	41c	125.39$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.43	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	80c	125.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…44bfbacked Under	78c	95.78$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	179	41.3%74 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	12c	89.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	24c	87.87$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	78c	87.83$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.62	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	33c	86.31$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	24c	83.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.36	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	24c	83.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.14	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	65c	69.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	61c	68.1$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.61	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	66c	68.1$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over	56c	56.59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.09	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	44c	31.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…b776backed Under	77c	26.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2864…c074backed Under	78c	25.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	56%28 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…f6a1backed Under	78c	25.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	157	54.1%85 W · 72 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	57c	24.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.72	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	73c	17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.59	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…d7e1backed Under	77c	13.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event