TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c1,285$959 inWon+$326.012,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under25c1,263$313 inLost-$313.151,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c609$460 inWon+$149.182,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c502.08$380 inWon+$121.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under25c413.65$105 inLost-$105.111,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c296.88$68 inLost-$68.282,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over77c289.97$222 inWon+$68.142,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under27c288.2$78 inLost-$77.812,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c266.15$205 inWon+$60.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under18c248.77$44 inLost-$44.2445536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under25c216.75$54 inLost-$54.191,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7000…82b5backed Over78c191.82$150 inWon+$41.821973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under26c150$39 inLost-$399330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.585236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c122.68$16 inLost-$15.952,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over75c98.12$74 inWon+$24.534,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over79c96.03$76 inWon+$19.71,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under27c93$25 inLost-$25.1134551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under18c87.99$16 inLost-$15.842,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e11…d36ebacked Under17c69.98$12 inLost-$11.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under25c67.87$17 inLost-$17.273,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under25c61.12$15 inLost-$15.2863745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under27c50.19$14 inLost-$13.5579149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under27c45.15$12 inLost-$12.1930547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under26c43$11 inLost-$11.2677051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under27c41.04$11 inLost-$11.0845548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441f…9be7backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x872e…7a6bbacked Over75c26.67$20 inWon+$6.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Over75c25$19 inWon+$6.255858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.