Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf097ba9d41fffbb4f3af544e6913e200dced0eabc572d00621c7fb7d8e12806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Englandof Mexico, England
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $928,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Mexico | 3c | 139,005$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.55 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Mexico | 3c | 51,425$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.44 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico | 3c | 50,287$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Mexico | 3c | 30,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Mexico | 3c | 20,503$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.88 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico | 3c | 15,355$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.12 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mexico | 3c | 10,822$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.2 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Mexico | 4c | 10,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Mexico | 4c | 9,736$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mexico | 1c | 7,293$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Mexico | 3c | 6,274$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Mexico | 3c | 5,293$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d825backed Mexico | 3c | 5,172$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Mexico | 2c | 4,910$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico | 3c | 4,419$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Mexico | 3c | 3,428$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Mexico | 3c | 1,512$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…5977backed Mexico | 2c | 1,506$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Mexico | 4c | 1,406$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mexico | 2c | 1,347$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…1e71backed Mexico | 4c | 1,307$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Mexico | 3c | 1,040$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…637dbacked Mexico | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Mexico | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…28e4backed Mexico | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Mexico | 4c | 927.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Mexico | 3c | 912.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Mexico | 3c | 910$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…8ce8backed Mexico | 3c | 866.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…3c05backed Mexico | 3c | 810.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mexico | 3c | 799.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Mexico | 3c | 749.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Mexico | 3c | 699.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…8efabacked Mexico | 3c | 557.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Mexico | 3c | 527.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Mexico | 3c | 507.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Mexico | 4c | 458.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Mexico | 3c | 375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Mexico | 3c | 357.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…f0f1backed Mexico | 3c | 344.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Mexico | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)this page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.