TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof Mexico, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,115,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,092,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico13c119,488$15,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,353.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico11c102,781$11,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,777.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Mexico13c100,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico13c68,888$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,818.422,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mexico13c54,750$7,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,117.538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mexico11c30,776$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.141,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Mexico5c19,000$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.9812647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Mexico13c18,481$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.5836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Mexico12c15,052$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.5875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Mexico12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Mexico12c13,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Mexico12c11,500$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38013122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Mexico13c10,775$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Mexico13c10,751$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.632,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Mexico13c10,465$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.475717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Mexico12c9,861$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.738325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico12c9,824$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Mexico13c8,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Mexico13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Mexico7c5,820$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Mexico5c4,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Mexico12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9817751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Mexico0c3,810$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Mexico13c3,654$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…8f9dbacked Mexico13c3,577$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Mexico13c3,456$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Mexico12c3,448$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Mexico11c3,400$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ca…1e53backed Mexico6c3,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011330.1%34 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a2…5384backed Mexico13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Mexico12c2,927$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Mexico12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Mexico1c2,129$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8725719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Mexico12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Mexico12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Mexico11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Mexico12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Mexico13c1,632$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Mexico10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Mexico5c1,406$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.326819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Mexico13c1,225$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.29358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Mexico13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Mexico12c1,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Mexico11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Mexico12c962.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3825643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Mexico12c919.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Mexico11c888.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.722,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico3c885.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa749…c213backed Mexico12c882.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Mexico8c859.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.62,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd48…0074backed Mexico12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007945.6%36 W · 43 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Mexico12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Mexico13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Mexico13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Mexico12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Mexico13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9116139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9052…09a4backed Mexico13c680.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Mexico12c630.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Mexico13c623$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.998530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mexico12c618.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Mexico12c597$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3432433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mexico17c572.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.672,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Mexico13c549.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.422123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mexico13c538.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…cc59backed Mexico5c537.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mexico10c461.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.251,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mexico12c454.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Mexico11c453.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.936622.7%15 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mexico11c450.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341f…0442backed Mexico12c450$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415020%30 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mexico16c442$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…637dbacked Mexico12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2226…2517backed Mexico13c413.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Mexico13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5246319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Mexico12c399.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988b…e331backed Mexico12c388.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6712335%43 W · 80 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3395…e2ffbacked Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…c69bbacked Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509414.9%14 W · 80 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Mexico13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…bac3backed Mexico12c370.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d9…1e71backed Mexico13c363.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.221216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Mexico12c357.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mexico7c355.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.730039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Mexico13c338.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410143.6%44 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ac…433dbacked Mexico13c338.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446230.6%19 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Mexico6c336.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Mexico13c316.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.112544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Mexico12c315.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe101…06e7backed Mexico13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mexico11c300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Mexico12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb788…28e4backed Mexico13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Mexico11c299.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Mexico12c299.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612927.1%35 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Mexico12c298.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8324247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.