TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,935,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,103,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,935,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under21c150,538$32,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,306.664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c132,662$87,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,586.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c86,785$68,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,281.471,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under19c82,879$15,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,513.8774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under21c60,101$12,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,783.6525038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under23c60,012$13,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,784.6836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under21c47,097$9,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,809.411642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under21c43,996$9,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,382.8244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under20c38,650$7,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,729.9920731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under20c31,250$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.9921444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under21c30,182$6,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.021,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under32c30,063$9,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,594.526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Over19c26,316$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,315.798135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over58c25,574$14,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,685.7837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under21c25,250$5,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,24529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under20c23,750$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c23,302$12,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,314.372,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Under0c19,230$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over78c18,391$14,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.6475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c18,027$8,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,858.572,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under15c15,608$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.9724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under30c14,833$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.211,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under13c13,962$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80026534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under20c13,625$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7258931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over79c12,224$9,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.288240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c12,098$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over61c11,944$7,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.5630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c11,906$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over74c11,777$8,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over78c11,234$8,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.0937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under35c10,939$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.5317550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c10,631$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Under20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Over80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Over18c9,721$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,958.342532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c1…16a4backed Over79c7,414$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Under20c7,330$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.32948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under17c7,239$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.2515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Under21c7,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under21c6,823$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.7525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c6,793$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under45c6,759$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.515967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over80c6,506$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.4124341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over79c6,380$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.367342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under9c6,266$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over76c6,152$4,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.1963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under78c6,000$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,659.9912647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under54c5,624$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.219440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over19c5,560$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.643545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c5,320$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under45c5,311$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.3466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over79c5,136$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.9532642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c5,006$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.2630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under24c4,902$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over21c4,762$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.910927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over78c4,737$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.395236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under20c4,625$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9254351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over73c4,582$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.1459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c4,493$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.683,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253a…af26backed Under32c4,307$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.728229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c4,122$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.012,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under54c4,100$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.8442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Over18c3,452$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under30c3,384$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.3633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over19c3,333$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.7319037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over45c3,331$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.2621442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under11c3,325$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.883026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over45c3,305$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c3,302$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over18c3,280$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.091,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under29c2,918$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under22c2,916$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.3621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under13c2,804$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Over79c2,793$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1527520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.7889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Over18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.785518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over69c2,771$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.1623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1652backed Over59c2,747$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1323847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over76c2,684$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.3573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Over80c2,646$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4317735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.583125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over18c2,611$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.1114612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under32c2,549$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.6921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.056556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under19c2,353$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over64c2,268$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.3337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Over17c2,222$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.262025%5 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over20c2,150$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72060511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over47c2,133$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Over78c2,100$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0610233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over80c2,017$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over19c2,000$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.9647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under11c1,985$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over79c1,979$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.625952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under21c1,966$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under21c1,963$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over74c1,881$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c1,846$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.242,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.