Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0858c09d46ad65f93ba6f4afa441fea7b18e639d0b640d87d7b178a525303492

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under	64c	14,925$9,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,543.91	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	37c	5,908$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,748.49	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over	36c	5,367$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,429.36	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over	34c	4,768$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,138.92	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	63c	1,827$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.31	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	31c	1,599$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.98	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	63c	1,177$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.51	309	50.8%157 W · 152 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	68c	1,054$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.38	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	36c	646.56$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Over	37c	540.54$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.54	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over	37c	500.89$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.56	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under	67c	447.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	335.75$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	63c	328.51$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.96	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over	35c	267.07$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.6	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over	36c	247$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.08	134	38.1%51 W · 83 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	63c	238.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	29c	218$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.44	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under	63c	215.55$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.79	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over	73c	212.77$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.2	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under	61c	204.65$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.84	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over	36c	161.11$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.11	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Under	65c	153.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	32.8%42 W · 86 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	37c	135.32$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.32	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	63c	128.65$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.53	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	20c	89.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	38c	88.82$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.94	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	38c	73.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over	78c	71.42$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	201	86.1%173 W · 28 L	+46.2wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x15d5…8903backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	36c	69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under	64c	60$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	63c	56.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+5.9wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc82e…de2abacked Over	37c	54.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.73	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	172	40.7%70 W · 102 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae50…7a49backed Over	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e90…ce0dbacked Over	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	63c	43.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	40c	40.97$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.58	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under	62c	38.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	61c	37.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	70c	34.62$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	64c	32.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over	37c	32.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.43	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3786…439abacked Under	64c	31.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	63c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	35c	29.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	60c	29.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	64c	28.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	62c	22.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	64c	15.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event