TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof Mexico, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,593,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,101,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,593,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Mexico48c2,049,490$993,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993,898.225334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico48c1,975,823$955,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955,176.062,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Mexico48c1,620,001$771,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,043.319142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Mexico49c1,578,950$773,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773,685.511642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed England61c1,421,365$865,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555,613.3474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked England52c1,248,802$649,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599,425.083360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed England51c1,142,837$584,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558,739.6220955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked England50c1,112,460$561,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,073.8215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked England52c1,106,689$574,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,181.6742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Mexico48c1,056,650$502,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,693.357433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mexico49c939,998$457,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457,799.0721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Mexico50c785,862$392,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,930.8111645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Mexico41c771,318$316,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316,248.0349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked England52c767,171$399,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367,570.1633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Mexico48c679,999$328,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328,199.6922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed England59c643,829$383,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260,799.0277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Mexico47c599,999$282,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,999.555749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico48c573,904$274,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274,104.832,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Mexico41c569,559$232,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,605.821931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked England52c560,291$290,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270,145.358063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Mexico47c442,565$207,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207,758.0529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Mexico48c429,947$206,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,374.85623.2%13 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed England53c419,997$220,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,198.677346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed England51c413,000$210,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,3701060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked England52c385,280$200,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,927.7570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Mexico49c379,750$186,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,077.58147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England62c367,824$228,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,985.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed England51c366,554$186,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179,611.652646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Mexico48c295,000$142,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,5508440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed England52c294,387$151,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,573.2411647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England52c283,575$148,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,139.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked England53c270,479$143,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,311.9917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked England53c266,936$141,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,163.5517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked England52c250,000$130,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,999.923151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked England51c241,767$123,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,465.8220448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Mexico46c239,322$110,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,088.1436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Mexico49c232,331$113,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,042.026564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Mexico47c229,509$107,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,869.273354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…ba32backed England53c221,099$117,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,184.81485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+88.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Mexico49c204,082$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked England52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Mexico49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,999.8323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Mexico16c195,574$31,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,859.2714715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed England52c190,778$99,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,993.2813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Mexico49c187,251$91,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,210.315119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Mexico23c184,460$42,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,254.828037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked England59c177,273$105,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,095.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Mexico33c177,103$58,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,720.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked England53c165,010$87,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,404.723971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed England51c152,103$77,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,530.56048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed England69c150,426$104,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,373.94748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked England53c150,267$78,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,364.018856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed England62c150,123$93,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,451.0134964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed England52c150,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Mexico48c149,355$71,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,190.247150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked England59c144,886$85,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,938.5466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mexico23c143,477$32,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,685.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked England65c143,291$92,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,845.129948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed England52c141,567$74,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,299.841,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…7320backed England69c139,457$96,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,231.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Mexico49c137,777$67,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,510.738246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb451…d7b3backed England51c131,454$67,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,412.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed England69c131,000$90,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,804.3125038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed England52c129,663$66,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,882.929345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mexico49c125,000$61,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,25043230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0f…4ca8backed England51c123,153$62,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,345.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed England50c120,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,0002931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed England50c115,303$57,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,587.7621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Mexico45c111,000$50,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,224.837941.8%33 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c1…a743backed England54c109,477$59,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,081.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed England53c109,124$57,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,541.788845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Mexico39c106,915$41,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,708.3434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Mexico50c102,500$51,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,2509747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked England50c100,005$50,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,002.454057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Mexico48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe234…304abacked Mexico49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,000100%0 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed England52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,0002650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95bc…6496backed Mexico48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed England51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.957839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Mexico49c100,000$48,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,499.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Mexico46c99,999$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,999.754040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked England51c98,000$49,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,020683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed England54c96,423$51,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,766.835523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked England52c95,616$49,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,896.444161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed England53c93,847$49,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,107.886524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Mexico47c92,825$43,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,627.8122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Mexico45c87,770$39,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,506.2613738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked England51c86,163$43,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,219.877851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mexico42c85,147$35,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,444.171,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England51c84,705$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,505.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed England51c82,806$42,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,574.9417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mexico29c81,582$23,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,403.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Mexico43c81,578$35,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,060.627126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mexico49c80,000$39,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,2003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed England50c78,780$39,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,3906053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Mexico43c78,000$33,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,704.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…bf18backed England51c77,052$39,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,755.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Mexico47c75,000$35,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,299.941315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed England51c70,040$35,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,319.573857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed England52c70,000$36,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,439.8619252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.