TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Mexicoof England, Mexico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8089…f935backed England1c30,328$343 inLost-$342.633327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England2c22,691$400 inLost-$40024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England1c12,213$162 inLost-$162.272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed England2c10,842$164 inLost-$164.1815229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed England1c10,000$80 inLost-$806543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked England1c8,282$99 inLost-$99.3821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England1c5,510$55 inLost-$55.171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England1c4,592$55 inLost-$54.8136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England1c4,035$37 inLost-$36.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed England1c2,530$29 inLost-$29.3723236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked England0c2,493$10 inLost-$10.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England2c2,328$42 inLost-$41.960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked England1c2,247$27 inLost-$26.821,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed England1c1,818$20 inLost-$2033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc025…cb2bbacked England1c1,667$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+481.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…cfe4backed England2c1,259$20 inLost-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd234…1589backed England3c1,000$25 inLost-$253441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed England2c999.6$15 inLost-$1547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed England2c937.5$15 inLost-$155534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England2c725.68$12 inLost-$1210911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f1b…ad63backed England2c500$10 inLost-$101533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed England7c232.9$16 inLost-$15.6410133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.