TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$430,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c144,828$90,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,195.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over29c50,000$14,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,285.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c40,349$15,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,146.952,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over29c27,469$8,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,402.9623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c22,487$6,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,816.332,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over51c16,740$8,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,213.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c13,376$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,204.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c11,239$5,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,831.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under71c10,668$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.458943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c9,592$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c7,618$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c7,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c6,582$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c5,069$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.231,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under47c5,000$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.979752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under64c4,794$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c4,298$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over29c3,333$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.4332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c3,279$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.551,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c3,011$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.351,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under71c2,907$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.3425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over57c2,695$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.5417636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c2,500$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.71,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c2,440$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over55c2,407$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.6887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over50c2,361$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.711,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over60c2,330$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.935248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c2,268$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over59c2,103$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.0616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88231152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over29c1,828$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.5916747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c1,779$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c1,748$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over60c1,650$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over29c1,552$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.7217944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Over65c1,543$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.183026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed Over66c1,500$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.431822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over43c1,470$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.31,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c1,440$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.891,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…dbbcbacked Over43c1,403$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.432867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…4a38backed Over61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5071855.6%10 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+0.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under40c1,228$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49228251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Over29c1,050$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.815024%12 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over29c999.96$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.9747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over29c985.17$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.861,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under72c974$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over48c970.2$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.191,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c939.74$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under70c884.67$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.2746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over47c853.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.38037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Under37c832.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.212040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Under42c824.96$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.129821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over29c807.29$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.7472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over61c805.65$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6515837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under70c797$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.4228945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under22c756.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.911440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over60c754.24$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.247754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under67c747.31$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.091,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c739.03$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.972,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Over63c702.73$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.731764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Under40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under41c699.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9924626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under30c652.68$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under45c614.76$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Over21c600$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4743616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under9c554.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.622,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under3c545.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.37641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over59c535.98$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Over29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.242965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Under72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d7…1bc3backed Over59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.995240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd9…f8d4backed Under72c497$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.841850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under40c466.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9321937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under72c466.5$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under69c455.09$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under72c442$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.2427744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Over61c422.67$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6711357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over59c402.85$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.178149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Over29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2843935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…b54ebacked Over60c381.62$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.655100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb75…cf4ebacked Over64c372.47$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.471866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under6c372$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under71c358.8$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9734455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.839337.6%35 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284b…f1ddbacked Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under58c343$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Over29c341.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.383429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Under43c340.04$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.674643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under41c337.24$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.945437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed Over30c333.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.884744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over58c328.2$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8412253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Over59c323.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.422161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550e…0840backed Over62c320.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.182245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcd…b8d2backed Over61c311.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.