TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cbc…96a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$748.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$922.31
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$171.26
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$106.78
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+55%+$41.28
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$102.53
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$178.65
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.69
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$68.35
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$221.77
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$139.29
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.55
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$79.85
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.74
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$427.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$194.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38%+$7.6
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+175.9%+$63.76
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+56.7%+$36.2
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$67.03
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+78.5%+$43.89
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.7%+$93.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+77.8%+$233.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+265.7%+$1,760.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.