TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed No70c43,245$30,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,980.081788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed No67c42,638$28,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,150.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes31c30,260$9,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,261.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…ab1cbacked Yes30c30,259$9,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,067.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No69c26,944$18,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,424.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes31c16,696$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes29c16,322$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-74.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed No71c15,358$10,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ead…3676backed Yes39c15,332$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…d289backed Yes32c13,800$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes24c12,581$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.772416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c11,588$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No70c10,672$7,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.222733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe778…ca0dbacked No74c9,451$6,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b61…8759backed No68c7,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…018fbacked No68c6,800$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes34c6,109$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7849…3254backed Yes22c5,524$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…6facbacked Yes34c5,433$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes29c5,146$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.184843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc120…7935backed Yes1c5,111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes3c5,042$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.269435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No64c4,027$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.616439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes21c3,918$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.055521.8%12 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked No57c3,595$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…d1c4backed Yes29c3,462$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed No63c3,373$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.667636.8%28 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes34c3,264$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.778122.2%18 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f9b…0029backed Yes26c3,213$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-80.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No64c3,000$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.996453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No66c2,917$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.5725731.5%81 W · 176 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3769…2799backed Yes24c2,806$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…40d8backed Yes29c2,585$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95a…aee7backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110a…38a8backed Yes1c2,505$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes28c2,501$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.417611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01d1…8c91backed Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes38c2,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes24c2,397$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes30c2,349$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.72814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed No71c2,192$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.881435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b7…f9e3backed Yes22c2,071$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.321947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No66c2,023$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.946841.2%28 W · 40 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+54.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7252…9e6dbacked Yes31c1,997$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Yes30c1,985$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed No78c1,965$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.662552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes39c1,830$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.316839.7%27 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No69c1,773$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.118543.5%37 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…c65fbacked Yes30c1,681$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a18…85aabacked No78c1,666$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Yes22c1,547$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-76.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes23c1,533$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.932356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No68c1,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed Yes35c1,488$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6890%0 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe48e…5effbacked Yes29c1,462$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e5…24babacked Yes31c1,437$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…00cfbacked No65c1,403$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Yes35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Yes26c1,400$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No68c1,395$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9857426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Yes43c1,379$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes25c1,343$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes24c1,285$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…ffa3backed No74c1,284$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.365151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…688fbacked Yes42c1,261$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes25c1,260$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes25c1,247$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.363342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed No78c1,240$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No69c1,151$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4847938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b50…e262backed Yes36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No66c1,100$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8611850%59 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No73c1,086$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.148241.5%34 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes28c1,077$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes47c1,060$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-85.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4b…c6b0backed Yes30c1,038$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…2606backed Yes21c1,032$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.071020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes33c1,021$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.825111.8%6 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a53…4e80backed Yes18c990.02$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes31c965.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…6d36backed Yes44c963.26$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfafb…27eabacked Yes34c957.14$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a79…6899backed Yes35c948.6$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes4c943.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328f…4079backed Yes43c930.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8432…3163backed Yes44c929.37$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes28c927.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.662313%3 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No74c908.97$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.959850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes26c903$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.184522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9246…14c5backed Yes23c878.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes27c865$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8808…75a8backed No60c818.58$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes42c815.19$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4212636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked No60c800$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.191553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed No70c799.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Yes33c799.65$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.622035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…a3bdbacked No59c783.14$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110f…8f39backed Yes38c782.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.