TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8808…75a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.74
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$32.23
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$62
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$57.26
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$61.58
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.78
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.14
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85.5
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$151.58
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$85.96
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$20.73
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$101.01
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$68.27
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$103.27
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$165.66
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$57.59
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.98
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$115.94
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$83.97
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.75
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$379.57
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$152.98
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$382.09
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$395.57
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.54
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$97.61
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$74.94
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.01
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.08
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$76.9
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.67
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$74.35
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78.72
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$49.75
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50.27
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$61.14
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$43.72
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$41.24
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$75.07
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.49
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$61.15
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.71
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$138.2
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$123.94
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$229.33
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$231.59
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$238.65
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$201.1
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$44.29
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$272.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$271.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+133.8%+$240.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$78.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$125.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+67.3%+$329.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$68.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.