NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a4f4cf615b5f5110f8fdf5dc4dbb2bb5bdfa3e79ae9b4dc835e4a31327b15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,181,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,181,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Sabres | 49c | 261,692$127,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,964.63 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 86,569$43,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,884.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 79,487$40,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,733.19 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 48,453$24,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,710.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 34,014$17,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,347.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…ed7bbacked Sabres | 49c | 26,673$13,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a02…726ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 26,400$13,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,728 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sabres | 49c | 21,698$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,072.71 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,867.99 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…d0eebacked Sabres | 48c | 20,666$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 15,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.96 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 14,394$7,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,401.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…a095backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 13,771$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sabres | 49c | 13,428$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,848.18 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sabres | 48c | 13,036$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,778.74 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 49c | 11,997$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.2 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 49c | 11,845$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 11,469$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 11,425$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 49c | 10,217$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Sabres | 49c | 9,859$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Sabres | 51c | 9,787$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sabres | 49c | 9,410$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.07 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 9,200$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 8,650$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 7,628$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 7,300$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.45 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 7,299$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.25 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 6,947$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.85 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 6,590$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.9 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…2516backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,545$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Sabres | 48c | 6,403$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.54 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 48c | 6,304$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.85 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Sabres | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,875$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.04 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sabres | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 47c | 5,747$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.8 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sabres | 50c | 5,449$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.98 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…de8cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,449$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…4ac4backed Sabres | 49c | 5,238$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Sabres | 49c | 4,958$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Sabres | 48c | 4,928$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.31 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,912$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.16 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…fa1ebacked Sabres | 49c | 4,757$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 4,753$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…baacbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,595$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 4,577$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 4,227$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,082$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.78 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sabres | 54c | 3,377$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,302$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.93 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sabres | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,056$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Sabres | 64c | 3,004$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 50c | 2,955$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.5 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,943$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.86 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 50c | 2,903$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Sabres | 53c | 2,774$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 49c | 2,514$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.29 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,465$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.08 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres | 67c | 2,390$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.99 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…0da4backed Sabres | 49c | 2,380$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,311$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.99 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…c113backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,235$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sabres | 48c | 2,124$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.69 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Sabres | 49c | 2,001$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.95 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,973$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…bb0bbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,973$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 50c | 1,948$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.65 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.01 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,800$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.17 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,688$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,667$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,636$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.36 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…0fa9backed Sabres | 48c | 1,624$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Sabres | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Sabres | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Sabres | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Sabres | 48c | 1,502$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.08 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…5c23backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…e15bbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,499$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…8cb7backed Sabres | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…735abacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,498$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…5eb1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,496$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…7b8bbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,496$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.