NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337df56989ae74f9af2368017dff1fa5074a4906a6d5784737e5826a191d3723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Magic, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,401,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,450,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,401,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,044 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Magic | 42c | 289,255$121,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,386.7 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Suns | 58c | 258,620$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,620.38 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Magic | 42c | 240,320$100,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,001.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Suns | 59c | 200,000$118,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,999.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Suns | 59c | 135,023$79,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,685.27 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 66c | 100,521$65,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,524.45 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Magic | 71c | 53,640$37,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,913.02 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Suns | 59c | 53,390$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,889.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 50c | 49,798$25,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,657.17 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Suns | 58c | 45,000$26,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,897.63 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 53c | 43,888$23,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,627.2 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Magic | 1c | 42,816$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.16 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 57c | 40,960$23,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,794.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Magic | 20c | 39,826$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.71 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 38c | 36,009$13,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,760.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 41c | 34,400$14,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,104 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 44c | 33,221$14,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,506.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 32,713$16,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,037.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 24c | 30,054$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320.53 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Magic | 41c | 30,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.96 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 48c | 28,502$13,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,787.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Magic | 41c | 26,799$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,987.48 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Suns | 56c | 25,000$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Suns | 60c | 24,545$14,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,858.88 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Suns | 57c | 23,492$13,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,136.48 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Suns | 43c | 23,246$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Magic | 57c | 22,820$12,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,996.68 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Suns | 46c | 21,791$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.63 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Magic | 48c | 20,500$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,822.47 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Suns | 58c | 19,651$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.75 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 12c | 19,443$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.68 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Suns | 54c | 19,400$10,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,003.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Magic | 46c | 19,400$9,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,003.93 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 67c | 18,873$12,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,644.78 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Suns | 33c | 18,313$6,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,269.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 42c | 18,311$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674.49 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Magic | 42c | 17,854$7,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.52 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Magic | 45c | 16,975$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.69 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Magic | 55c | 16,427$8,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.28 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 55c | 16,186$8,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 45c | 15,885$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.09 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Magic | 46c | 15,859$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.21 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Magic | 42c | 15,629$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,554 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Magic | 47c | 14,378$6,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720.95 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Magic | 42c | 11,969$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Magic | 45c | 11,670$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.01 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Magic | 41c | 11,513$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.48 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 42c | 11,457$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.94 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Suns | 54c | 11,200$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Magic | 46c | 11,200$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.98 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 51c | 10,813$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.3 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Suns | 51c | 10,294$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Magic | 59c | 10,186$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 41c | 10,030$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Magic | 22c | 9,657$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.66 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Suns | 57c | 9,333$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.33 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Magic | 42c | 9,302$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Magic | 43c | 9,280$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.5 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…31ffbacked Magic | 35c | 9,177$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Magic | 6c | 8,627$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 42c | 8,274$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.41 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 37c | 7,489$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Suns | 71c | 7,212$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.3 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Magic | 43c | 7,175$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.06 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Magic | 42c | 7,162$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Suns | 55c | 7,037$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.96 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Suns | 53c | 7,011$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.38 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Suns | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 55c | 6,831$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.47 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 47c | 6,823$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 58c | 6,766$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 30c | 6,550$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.32 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Magic | 62c | 6,521$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Suns | 51c | 6,499$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.3 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 24c | 6,409$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 56c | 6,400$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…d49cbacked Suns | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Magic | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns | 51c | 5,885$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.17 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 36c | 5,511$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.92 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 43c | 5,509$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.71 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Magic | 45c | 5,423$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.33 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…26c5backed Suns | 54c | 5,301$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…1389backed Magic | 47c | 5,301$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…3ae6backed Suns | 53c | 5,297$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…77c2backed Magic | 45c | 5,282$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Magic | 46c | 5,237$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.9 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…3ae1backed Suns | 53c | 5,200$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…68b3backed Suns | 54c | 5,185$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Magic | 42c | 5,110$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Suns | 58c | 5,093$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.33 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 53c | 5,004$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.