TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$498,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,999.9732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c90,465$42,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,933.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Over59c67,766$39,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,980.41955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c36,405$17,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,461.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c32,727$15,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,711.471,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c28,439$13,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,689.392,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c18,960$9,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,100.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Under48c11,179$5,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3666657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6751,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under48c7,164$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.7251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c6,741$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under47c5,668$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under48c4,930$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under48c4,750$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,829$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.434,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c3,406$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under48c3,006$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.6929352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c2,754$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,663$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed Under5c2,200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick11cpaid+378%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,033$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over52c1,534$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.8414742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under48c1,508$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c1,298$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.0864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under4c1,287$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c1,244$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,169$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.122,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c1,157$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under16c999$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8415534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over55c912.96$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8f…801cbacked Over52c834.62$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over55c801.38$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.626943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242623.1%6 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+428%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Under7c800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52160%0 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over5c778.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.4717233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over51c734.72$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0124050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c6…6d67backed Over17c603.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.44850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c601.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over26c599.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.997047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c565.61$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c563$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6140146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under5c560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+218.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over54c556.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.858851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c517$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c510.86$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.381,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under10c447$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under3c440$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62528%7 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over55c383.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under67c362.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over4c343.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0467921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c310.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Over7c309.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4928616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c303.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.832,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over53c301.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.829458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over16c288.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.610623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under47c276.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0312645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c275$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over13c240$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Over45c223.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.522650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under11c203.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5210028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over58c191.78$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under70c181.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.621,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Over16c180.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.354250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over42c175.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.042548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over21c165$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over26c139.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under45c131.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.225450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over30c101.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1321637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…2d0fbacked Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac76…fe54backed Over26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.151020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Over78c93.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under62c87.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9214359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under48c87.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9145460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c86.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over52c86.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.398850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…0d61backed Under34c72.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b7…5324backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c67.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.011,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over51c55.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f2…3de3backed Over46c51.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under62c50.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.041,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.