NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1669dc95f01303e1130b71a17dd047577a9f656894884a3e742497d35ad1762a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 38,207$17,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,631.63 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 54c | 10,446$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.05 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 7,880$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 53c | 4,207$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.73 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 3,996$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 48c | 3,352$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.79 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 54c | 1,628$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.95 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.78 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,532$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.54 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 48c | 1,226$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.32 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 1,205$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,180$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,137$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,031$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.91 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Over | 53c | 986.22$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 400.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…198abacked Over | 47c | 331.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 48c | 305.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 46c | 228$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 54c | 228$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…a10fbacked Under | 54c | 193.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…c640backed Over | 47c | 191.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 167.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 165.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 139.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 50c | 131.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 47c | 127.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Over | 46c | 124.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…6d78backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 47c | 99.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 97.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 84.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 31c | 65.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…9bccbacked Under | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 49.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 53c | 40.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 52c | 37.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 60c | 23.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. SunsSuns won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.