TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9085…b8dfbacked Yes0c8,270$40 inLost-$40100%0 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No63c877.99$552 inWon+$325.9626069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No68c735.99$500 inWon+$235.526669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Yes37c548.24$205 inLost-$205.383246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No66c482.87$319 inWon+$164.186953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes43c480$208 inLost-$208.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Yes33c446.74$146 inLost-$1461346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No55c377.66$208 inWon+$17090863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe14a…1648backed Yes34c369.24$125 inLost-$125540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c362.87$237 inWon+$126.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc0…eb74backed Yes32c339.06$109 inLost-$108.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…ec95backed Yes33c333.77$110 inLost-$1101127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…036ebacked Yes32c302.34$96 inLost-$96.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes39c153.74$60 inLost-$607022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Yes47c127.66$60 inLost-$605541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No57c100$57 inWon+$4345657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes33c76.36$25 inLost-$2540048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No57c76.25$43 inWon+$32.791,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No70c40$28 inWon+$1290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No56c30$17 inWon+$13.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked No58c30$17 inWon+$12.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No72c19.67$14 inWon+$5.51788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked No73c14.14$10 inWon+$3.8215651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.