TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33bb…a2cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$45.47
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.53
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.3
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.42
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$208.2
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$208.2
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$101.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs FURIA fe (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.99
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.06
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.07
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79.85
Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs LAG Gaming (+1.5)backed LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+133.6%+$266.25
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)backed Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Map Handicap: THUNDER dOWNUNDER (-1.5) vs Skele (+1.5)backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: BRUTE vs NightBirds (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$331.61
Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
LoL: Vantex Esports vs Francesinhas (BO3) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Francesinhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs EXILE esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$178.31
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54%+$73.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wendelken vs. Dostanic: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Tigre 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$169.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$128.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.