Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd771ae53d22867584549673cd819d3fae6f471dac8902d925351ae874c3d0f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,102$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 44c | 441.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 41c | 321.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Over | 43c | 298.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 282.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 128.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Under | 9c | 122.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 41c | 95.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 28c | 93.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 18c | 71.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 44c | 50.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 58c | 39.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 59c | 36.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 25.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.