TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb409…03e9backed Yes58c168.33$97 inLost-$97.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No42c168.26$71 inWon+$97.5924949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes57c148.51$84 inLost-$84.3695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No40c100$40 inWon+$605,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes60c97.6$59 inLost-$58.5630055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No41c83.46$34 inWon+$49.2490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No50c72.66$36 inWon+$36.671,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes59c49.84$29 inLost-$29.2628455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked No43c48.29$21 inWon+$27.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb551…a2f3backed Yes59c46.19$27 inLost-$27.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No44c34.32$15 inWon+$19.2240546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No41c33.49$14 inWon+$19.8626957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No43c25.83$11 inWon+$14.721,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf376…d88abacked Yes58c19.75$11 inLost-$11.452536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c3e…fd63backed Yes62c16.21$10 inLost-$10.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.