NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6974ff5cf119ce91713ccfabf7db8669a628cf37da23e7b3849102e407591169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 67c | 2,370$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Clippers | 80c | 2,253$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.67 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors | 24c | 1,240$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…82e2backed Warriors | 42c | 802.74$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +520.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Clippers | 64c | 684.37$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Warriors | 24c | 529.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Clippers | 62c | 254.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Warriors | 17c | 220.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Warriors | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Warriors | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Warriors | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Warriors | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Warriors | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…1378backed Warriors | 45c | 177.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Warriors | 34c | 155.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Clippers | 70c | 137.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Warriors | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Warriors | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Warriors | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Warriors | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed Clippers | 77c | 127.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Warriors | 36c | 112.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Warriors | 36c | 112.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warriors | 20c | 110.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…7de9backed Warriors | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Clippers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Warriors | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Warriors | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Clippers | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Clippers | 70c | 73.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…f81abacked Warriors | 41c | 66.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 59c | 64.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Clippers | 65c | 62.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 37c | 61.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…0325backed Warriors | 39c | 55.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Warriors | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Warriors | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Warriors | 40c | 47.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ac15backed Warriors | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Warriors | 40c | 45.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…7380backed Warriors | 38c | 43.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Warriors | 34c | 42.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Warriors | 46c | 41.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Clippers | 73c | 38.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Warriors | 35c | 37.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Warriors | 32c | 37.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Clippers | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Clippers | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795e…ab13backed Clippers | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. ClippersWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.