TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c37,312$17,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,390.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c21,334$10,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,880.5919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under53c12,443$6,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,594.5615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c11,944$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,211.0220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c10,897$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c9,967$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c7,854$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c7,382$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Under52c5,990$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.641844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c5,517$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.061,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c5,199$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.8732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c5,155$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.6290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c4,682$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.2414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c4,641$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.621,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Under54c3,061$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.087865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c3,048$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c2,760$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.8232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c2,441$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.9962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,264$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under54c1,978$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.3556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…2294backed Over49c1,741$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over60c1,690$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d87…f13cbacked Under53c1,641$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c1,577$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.9731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over50c1,445$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6510556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,335$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.9911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.958348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over47c1,188$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.74047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd26…294bbacked Over51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.522343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over48c1,093$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c1,090$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.4338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c1,088$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.6220647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c1,082$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Over50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5255330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over48c1,028$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7520154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Under1c1,016$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.163554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51017740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Over67c946.13$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.223148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Over48c857.65$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.983447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under54c850.85$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under49c817$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3311556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over47c726.3$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80b…7e1bbacked Over55c707.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c667.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1134850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over47c650.63$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.832548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e1…6851backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Over49c599.96$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.982050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b2…8561backed Over46c588.97$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…69efbacked Under51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e42cbacked Over51c567.23$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8970…8f60backed Under51c566.36$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…d709backed Over51c562.8$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3e…d627backed Under51c542.39$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c541.12$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Under54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7217047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…e6f2backed Over51c537.08$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c8…103dbacked Under50c527.68$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e49…8860backed Over52c522.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c520$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Under49c487.67$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under54c437.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2916555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c430.51$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd0…047fbacked Under51c399.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143f…45a4backed Over51c399.03$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd0…7f13backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c338.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under54c321.36$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over51c314.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8738942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…ccbcbacked Over47c292.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under61c291.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3113342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbd…fba4backed Over50c281.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c266.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c262.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over49c260.55$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.128057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over46c249.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.973743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c247.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c240.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.183828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Over67c194.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.213345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…f069backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d15…1e6dbacked Under51c193.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d6…d4a7backed Over50c192.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bde…fe12backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92b…8cb5backed Under11c187.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-58.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ca…7a89backed Over65c184.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under54c179.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2429345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c167.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.