TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under51c78,668$40,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,120.5943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c26,557$13,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,179.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under51c21,691$11,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,062.6214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under51c17,411$8,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,879.4249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c16,427$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,476.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c10,494$5,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over49c10,125$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.274134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c8,619$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c7,586$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.051,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under51c7,276$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.69741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c5,526$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c4,496$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under50c4,364$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.9160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c4,190$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.371,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over49c3,955$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.925341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,871$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.421,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under53c3,860$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.578851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under45c3,857$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.5439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Under51c3,806$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Under52c3,685$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.043345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd26…294bbacked Over50c3,600$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.722343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Over55c3,253$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Under63c3,168$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.683531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c2,769$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.081,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c2,641$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under21c2,236$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c2,189$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.2584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c2,179$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over49c2,066$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.552748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Under50c2,041$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.376737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Over55c1,946$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over50c1,939$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.5212850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c1,938$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Over59c1,931$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8315950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over51c1,769$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.6823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,704$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Over79c1,620$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.137338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,604$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over77c1,567$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.617100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.31,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c1,519$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under50c1,500$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75711945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over49c1,441$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.8619937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under26c1,366$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c1,336$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c1,232$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.791,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,208$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c1,098$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.341,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c1,037$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under20c1,002$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0715219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over48c999.94$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under43c956.14$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.1419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c932.91$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c888.3$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0312857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over47c846.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.045743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over50c832.35$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6419348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.593348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under47c744.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c648.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c643.04$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.951,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over47c634.33$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c621.93$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over49c616.75$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4514052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c599.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…4c9fbacked Over48c576.9$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over66c559.25$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.837646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8edc…3a70backed Under47c549.56$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.642050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over49c542.4$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c494.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2415543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over51c488.21$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over50c484.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under53c476.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under38c466.09$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Over52c450$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over36c431.55$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Under47c422.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.396154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Under51c418.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.537440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over54c417.51$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0545146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over47c412.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.643636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under50c405.01$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.217856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x221d…797abacked Under47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over50c399.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.797441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c6…c164backed Over50c389.96$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.92532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19414046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over50c383.34$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8227745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c374.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.