TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$789,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers54c452,394$244,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,292.5272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Warriors46c327,596$150,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176,933.6187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors46c151,620$69,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,874.6766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Clippers54c146,125$78,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,904.6116841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors46c52,565$24,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,384.9463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors41c44,543$18,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,163.931,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Warriors45c33,244$14,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,284.4660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers55c29,190$16,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,054.540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Warriors46c21,035$9,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,358.7832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Clippers65c14,847$9,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,651.1839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors46c10,517$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.3990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers54c7,109$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.871,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers53c5,302$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors45c5,226$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.3274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Warriors45c4,766$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Warriors46c4,350$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers57c4,292$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.1128554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Warriors46c3,870$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.0217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors45c3,326$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.561,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Warriors45c3,273$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.1826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers62c3,161$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.1942348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Clippers54c2,944$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.623246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Warriors44c2,624$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.4412450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Warriors48c2,598$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Clippers46c2,538$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.754841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Warriors44c2,373$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers53c2,014$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.841,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Warriors46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Warriors43c1,977$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.391855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors32c1,958$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.853,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Clippers55c1,946$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.315753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers55c1,946$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.379549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers63c1,939$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.872,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Clippers54c1,630$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.144942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Warriors46c1,560$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Warriors47c1,431$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Clippers56c1,374$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.0411464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Clippers57c1,283$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.6321957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x157d…e29bbacked Clippers55c1,238$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked Clippers55c1,234$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors52c1,170$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.751,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Clippers56c1,130$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.843737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Warriors38c1,112$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.596448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Warriors46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Clippers55c973.24$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers57c957.05$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.081,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Warriors39c832.04$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Warriors53c804.8$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Clippers54c728.41$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Warriors36c649.74$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7319434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers49c636.33$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.6858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Warriors46c631.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors45c626.03$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7956…aca7backed Clippers55c619.18$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers37c599.12$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.151,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers54c585.64$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers27c547.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.032,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Clippers47c532.74$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Clippers55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6273…82edbacked Clippers55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…0510backed Clippers55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers55c518.8$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Clippers55c486.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Clippers54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5515857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Clippers55c479.96$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors47c470.55$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clippers55c445.29$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Warriors45c430.49$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Warriors46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Warriors46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1814854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers54c417.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Clippers56c405.09$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.855158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers55c403.75$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Clippers53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21262539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Warriors43c397.38$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers55c396.2$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.912,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Clippers55c389.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0621653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Clippers52c371.03$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2811850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed Warriors53c367.6$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Warriors45c338.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Clippers58c333.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.026950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Warriors45c328.78$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Clippers56c321.01$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8226233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors46c320.37$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1731,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Clippers56c319.19$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1423445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Warriors33c312.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3827138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers53c312.6$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.681,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Warriors46c308.46$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Clippers55c303.59$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Warriors47c300.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0825550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Clippers41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12338242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Clippers56c297.43$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.174042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f8…17f1backed Clippers56c295.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b1…cf50backed Warriors34c279.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Warriors46c260.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors49c257.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Warriors77c256.42$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1940344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Warriors46c255.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers54c248.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.