NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2958cacfd22af273912872dc5303f06817272ee8454e993c42e0222e3e36cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,175,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,188,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 618 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 369,131$184,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,904.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Clippers | 50c | 329,519$164,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,759.45 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Clippers | 50c | 184,689$92,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,467.41 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 50c | 149,690$74,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,844.92 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 50c | 144,333$72,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,166.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 42c | 71,743$30,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,588.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Clippers | 51c | 58,649$29,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,624.48 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 57c | 54,387$30,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,737.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Warriors | 50c | 46,844$23,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,422.2 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Warriors | 50c | 39,982$19,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,990.86 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 50c | 38,154$19,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,035.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 49c | 29,294$14,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,817.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Warriors | 50c | 28,916$14,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,362.69 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Warriors | 50c | 24,789$12,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,505.4 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 49c | 19,776$9,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.64 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 50c | 19,372$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,671.5 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors | 50c | 18,870$9,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,431.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Clippers | 52c | 13,261$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 49c | 11,329$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Clippers | 62c | 11,222$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.22 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 49c | 10,677$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.26 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors | 49c | 10,663$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.33 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Clippers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Warriors | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Clippers | 51c | 9,706$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.06 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Clippers | 52c | 9,391$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.11 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Warriors | 49c | 9,209$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.74 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Clippers | 58c | 8,965$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.62 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 51c | 8,564$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.42 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 51c | 7,765$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.05 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Warriors | 53c | 7,656$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.7 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Warriors | 51c | 6,510$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.92 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 48c | 5,676$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…370ebacked Warriors | 49c | 5,079$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 49c | 4,949$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 58c | 4,856$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Clippers | 52c | 4,241$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.42 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Clippers | 51c | 3,688$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.02 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 51c | 3,530$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 45c | 3,127$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 51c | 3,009$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.34 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Clippers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,911$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.89 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Clippers | 63c | 2,787$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 49c | 2,704$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Clippers | 66c | 2,643$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 54c | 2,610$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clippers | 51c | 2,508$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…3ddcbacked Clippers | 50c | 2,453$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,443$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Warriors | 51c | 2,424$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.91 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,330$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.51 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 53c | 2,202$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,194$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Warriors | 48c | 2,183$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,063$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.24 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Warriors | 39c | 2,029$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.24 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Warriors | 49c | 2,008$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.89 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Warriors | 48c | 1,999$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,890$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.82 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,868$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Clippers | 48c | 1,716$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.48 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Clippers | 52c | 1,655$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Clippers | 51c | 1,600$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Clippers | 63c | 1,593$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.97 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…ea87backed Clippers | 57c | 1,501$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Warriors | 42c | 1,494$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.38 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Clippers | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.6 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Clippers | 53c | 1,465$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.48 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Warriors | 38c | 1,381$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.24 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Clippers | 50c | 1,347$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.39 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Warriors | 52c | 1,341$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Warriors | 50c | 1,335$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.36 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Clippers | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…5e89backed Clippers | 60c | 1,301$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Warriors | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Clippers | 54c | 1,216$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.54 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Clippers | 50c | 1,182$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Warriors | 32c | 1,181$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.17 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Clippers | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.21 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Warriors | 51c | 1,175$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.75 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Clippers | 50c | 1,171$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.46 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Warriors | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.45 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 54c | 1,132$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.39 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed Warriors | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Warriors | 53c | 1,024$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,020$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.01 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,004$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Warriors | 49c | 977.27$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Clippers | 50c | 970.6$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Clippers | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Warriors | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. ClippersWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.