TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c4,900$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.361,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under8c4,366$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.882759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c4,174$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over52c3,735$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.9814045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over52c3,645$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.5485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c2,544$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.7749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c2,401$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.1970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under48c2,066$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.5620051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.6717553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under49c1,991$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.219741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under55c1,910$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,854$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.243,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,604$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.871,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b2…ada8backed Over57c1,544$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Under65c1,446$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.5215950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,431$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,065$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.131,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,052$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,001$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c750.15$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over49c749.98$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4958754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c720.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over55c710.86$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c704.32$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under47c639.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over53c636.11$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over50c631.56$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over48c599.95$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9716159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c583.11$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Over52c565.32$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.358644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6273…82edbacked Over55c530.73$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under48c519.28$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.253053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over56c517.7$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0742348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under42c500$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f40…92b2backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Over54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under15c495$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over52c466.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c451.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.931,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c435.94$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under26c422$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5819434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over49c417.58$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Under45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…5a60backed Over54c399.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e88…b18cbacked Under53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over54c359.62$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.229652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over60c339.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.992552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over66c335.3$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.533857.9%22 W · 16 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over51c329.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c324.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c296.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c289.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over63c276.74$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6811873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under23c244$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under4c235.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.357316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c233.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf888…6b5fbacked Under46c210.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.925550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c204.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c200.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5718…24d4backed Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.356767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c189.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Over53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a0…aac6backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157d…e29bbacked Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89c…932abacked Under50c160.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over57c157.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe627…ac15backed Over64c153.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over53c150.34$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.98646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b277backed Over67c147.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.19825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c143.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.341,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under48c131.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7614052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c128.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeee…a07cbacked Over53c127.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under42c118.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.893748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under44c117.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c115.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c115.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over55c106.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c104.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Over77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6226345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over50c96.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.499334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over51c95.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.626543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff53…19edbacked Over50c93.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87e…606dbacked Over53c92.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.096656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over53c88.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over60c88.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2513950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.