TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vantex Esports vs Francesinhas (BO3) - LPLOL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vantex Esportsof Vantex Esports, Francesinhas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Vantex Esports61c14,879$9,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,731.4417163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Francesinhas66c3,822$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.9269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Francesinhas39c3,650$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.39245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Francesinhas37c1,869$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Vantex Esports36c1,728$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.251,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Francesinhas39c1,614$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7929043.4%126 W · 164 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Francesinhas39c1,423$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9342735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vantex Esports44c1,399$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.061,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Francesinhas37c1,398$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.614438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Francesinhas39c1,367$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2518829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Vantex Esports60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Francesinhas37c955$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.076235.5%22 W · 40 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Francesinhas39c872.94$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.452729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Vantex Esports60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3316935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Francesinhas38c831.4$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7112941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Francesinhas72c776.14$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.123935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Francesinhas39c713.93$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.433627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Francesinhas37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Francesinhas38c691.78$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.49230.4%28 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Vantex Esports61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.51,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Francesinhas39c531.5$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Francesinhas37c530$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.124941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Vantex Esports57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Francesinhas62c478.55$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Francesinhas43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Francesinhas40c465$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186100%0 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vantex Esports58c465$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.141,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vantex Esports61c423.16$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.461,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Francesinhas36c422.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8610851.9%56 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Francesinhas39c419.18$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16456317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Francesinhas40c418$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesinhas80c417.25$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.722,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd2…0c9dbacked Vantex Esports61c412.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+112.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vantex Esports64c399.12$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.681,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Francesinhas27c381.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.271,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Francesinhas61c354.4$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0525923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Francesinhas40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Francesinhas44c342.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.472544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Francesinhas39c307.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.851060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+168.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Vantex Esports60c300.79$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7956650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Francesinhas40c300.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.188055%44 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Francesinhas38c296$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4812647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc1…2dcabacked Francesinhas39c280$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Francesinhas36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Vantex Esports51c272.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.221,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Francesinhas37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Francesinhas36c267.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.319844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Francesinhas39c265.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6612333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Vantex Esports60c256.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.665937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Francesinhas36c250.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0812840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Francesinhas39c225.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.119042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Vantex Esports54c221$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.668033.8%27 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed Francesinhas38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Francesinhas39c207$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.733560%21 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Francesinhas39c204.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.544128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Vantex Esports59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8347444.1%209 W · 265 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Francesinhas40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Francesinhas39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Vantex Esports56c195$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.82,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Francesinhas42c187.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7912035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Francesinhas40c172$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.812341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Vantex Esports61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932548%12 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…78ccbacked Vantex Esports60c133.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.743764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Vantex Esports38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5840959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe811…6816backed Francesinhas38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Francesinhas56c128.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.333826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Francesinhas40c123$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Vantex Esports59c120.83$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Vantex Esports40c110.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3221953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Francesinhas62c109.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.71,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef5…671fbacked Vantex Esports46c108.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8113467.2%90 W · 44 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Francesinhas39c107.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Francesinhas36c105.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4626556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Francesinhas38c104$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.528835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vantex Esports37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6367931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Vantex Esports58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4236048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Vantex Esports28c97.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.316530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Francesinhas44c92.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9520764.7%134 W · 73 L+24.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x759c…5426backed Vantex Esports72c83.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Vantex Esports62c81.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3818440.8%75 W · 109 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Vantex Esports47c75.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+82.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Vantex Esports63c58.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.341478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Francesinhas41c56.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Francesinhas56c53.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.873246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Francesinhas56c53.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.873447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed Francesinhas26c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Vantex Esports64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1858042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Francesinhas42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214736.2%17 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Vantex Esports60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Vantex Esports61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1814266.9%95 W · 47 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Francesinhas40c45.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Francesinhas34c43.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828438.1%32 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Francesinhas33c40.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Francesinhas40c40.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Vantex Esports48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9417136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Francesinhas43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0512545.6%57 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed Francesinhas41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Francesinhas45c30.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9911155.9%62 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Vantex Esports54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.822139.8%88 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b92…c894backed Francesinhas65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.