CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b9c46aabf4112ee80d0b23c0f87522878012d5f902d58a769afaa77c457546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3792…e8cabacked Rare Atom | 7c | 11,312$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked The Huns Esports | 39c | 7,835$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.6 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Rare Atom | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Rare Atom | 61c | 1,614$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.38 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rare Atom | 61c | 946.45$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked Rare Atom | 61c | 407.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed The Huns Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed The Huns Esports | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…d428backed Rare Atom | 8c | 212$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Rare Atom | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed The Huns Esports | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed The Huns Esports | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Rare Atom | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked The Huns Esports | 49c | 85.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rare Atom | 61c | 73.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked The Huns Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rare Atom | 71c | 44.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked The Huns Esports | 31c | 43.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Rare Atom | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rare Atom | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…c894backed Rare Atom | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 44 | 81.8%36 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Rare Atom | 71c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed Rare Atom | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.