Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd2c407db4c978ce9e378e98a36fd0110a6a6dacc6176fc920fa827d79b97a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 13,442$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 11,151$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.37 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 46c | 9,658$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.23 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 50c | 8,206$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.92 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 51c | 7,289$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.82 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 6,820$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.5 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 6,758$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.13 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes | 51c | 6,099$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed No | 52c | 5,494$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.36 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 0c | 4,694$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 45c | 4,278$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.9 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,772$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.23 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 54c | 2,723$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.43 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 45c | 2,236$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.35 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 1,867$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.48 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 1,862$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.54 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 47c | 1,687$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.1 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 1,658$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.87 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 45c | 1,500$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 1,484$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.66 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,319$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 53c | 1,250$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Yes | 45c | 1,239$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 1,235$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.46 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,168$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,115$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 55c | 1,073$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.82 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 1,008$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 978.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 796.91$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.44 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 49c | 619.82$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 45c | 528.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 49c | 522$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 513.91$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…3100backed Yes | 7c | 475$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 51c | 473.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 52c | 469.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 49c | 431$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 52c | 406.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 359.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 338.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 51c | 309.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 55c | 297.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…b1d6backed Yes | 37c | 292.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 49c | 285.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 247.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 55c | 233$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 48c | 222.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 54c | 217.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 49c | 203.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…777fbacked Yes | 52c | 191.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 48c | 191$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 49c | 186.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 181.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 54c | 175.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…43e4backed Yes | 45c | 169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 50c | 160.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 48c | 158$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…9a7dbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked No | 50c | 149.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 51c | 149.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…a832backed Yes | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 49c | 139.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…b312backed Yes | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes | 51c | 132.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…c2adbacked Yes | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…b86fbacked Yes | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 55c | 122.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 38c | 118.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 116.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 47c | 106.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Yes | 47c | 92.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Greece vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.