Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f2f7bc003b38a50e3b56b3183e3c007a0b0d86e915ff4f8e194eaaf04b842a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 10,570$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.43 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 7,639$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.28 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,604$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 9c | 1,137$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 973.75$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 654.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 64c | 581.08$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 499.04$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 495.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 409$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 63c | 408$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 365.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 35c | 265.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 235.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 230.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 203$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 172.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 156.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 14c | 145.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 33c | 142.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 128.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…b1d6backed Yes | 20c | 126.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 123.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 122.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 113.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 105.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 29c | 87.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 78.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 76.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 75.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 40c | 73.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 71.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…74ffbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 67.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 24c | 61.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 51.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 50.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…7c9dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 35c | 45.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…e928backed No | 79c | 45.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…583fbacked No | 69c | 29.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 38c | 26.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 74c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece vs. Paraguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.