Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5e69a4001d605366499708d6a0c641ab7319567d39cb597c1f283e9288e265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 74c | 47,985$35,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,572.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 25,764$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,121.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 13,997$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.5 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 12,329$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed No | 41c | 6,713$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 5,735$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.04 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 42c | 4,961$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.96 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 4,444$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.5 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 3,197$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.8 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,394$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.66 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 27c | 1,417$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,208$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.33 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 27c | 1,002$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.73 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 978.48$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 25c | 860.58$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 78c | 804.59$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.58 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 789.59$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 25c | 772.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 587.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.07 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 24c | 506$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.47 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 495.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 76c | 495.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 491.1$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.72 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 484.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 24c | 446$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.35 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 445.66$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.74 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 414.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 384.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 32c | 364.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 350.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Yes | 22c | 341.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…5cdebacked Yes | 80c | 329$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 57c | 325.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…89f6backed Yes | 26c | 313$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 38c | 310.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes | 66c | 270.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 251.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…ef91backed Yes | 66c | 245.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Yes | 78c | 229.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 24c | 210.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 76c | 210$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 24c | 208.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 198.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 49c | 194.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 25c | 191.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 185.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 181.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 27c | 175.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 63c | 159.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 37c | 155.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 150.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 1,068 | 49.2%525 W · 543 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 49c | 150.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…cd53backed Yes | 78c | 148.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 138.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 31c | 136.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 37c | 133.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…9480backed Yes | 26c | 133$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…49a9backed Yes | 26c | 133$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…ee17backed Yes | 77c | 129.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a7d6backed Yes | 26c | 129$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 80c | 125.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…5523backed Yes | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 27c | 124$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…7bd5backed Yes | 23c | 120.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…714cbacked Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 59c | 116.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 74c | 114.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 114.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 30c | 109.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 107.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed No | 39c | 105.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…0388backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 26c | 97.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…eea3backed Yes | 27c | 97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 54c | 92.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 92.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…d953backed Yes | 26c | 90.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Yes | 24c | 89.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Greece vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won
- Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.