NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1c2fe26ee0e7912d0ec0c272049170a84be62fd5dc3736a12d72e7ac353e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avangard Omsk, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed CSKA Moscow | 45c | 9,445$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.32 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 2,357$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 2,237$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.56 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked CSKA Moscow | 40c | 1,685$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.09 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 943.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed CSKA Moscow | 40c | 578.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 506.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 501.37$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 445.75$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed CSKA Moscow | 42c | 331.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 310.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Avangard Omsk | 63c | 310.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 303$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 292.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 286.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 264.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…9c55backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 263.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…beddbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 254.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 181.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed CSKA Moscow | 44c | 159.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed CSKA Moscow | 28c | 144.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Avangard Omsk | 72c | 129.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 116.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Avangard Omsk | 73c | 98.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed CSKA Moscow | 30c | 90.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSKA Moscow | 28c | 71.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 70.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 67.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 63.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Avangard Omsk | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSKA Moscow | 43c | 50.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed CSKA Moscow | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 48.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed CSKA Moscow | 25c | 41.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…4132backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CSKA Moscow | 38c | 36.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…eb59backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 35.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…1d84backed Avangard Omsk | 62c | 31.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed CSKA Moscow | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed CSKA Moscow | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avangard Omsk | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.