Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fea064ca73076e33b09cb656717fd17609559ec37ad57aaa06b5618cc2c0a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,566 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 61c | 4,862$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 2,871$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.58 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 1,680$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.32 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 260.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes | 65c | 210.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 7c | 208.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 62c | 192.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 184.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 109.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 62c | 96.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 34c | 56.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 51.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 38c | 50.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed Yes | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 25.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…7de1backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.