Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e6a3e721ad72cb9a692ee4f0a9d757b9197b03fabdd892982a2677e613d296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,944 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 53c | 9,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 5,198$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.85 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,057$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Under | 3c | 999.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 55c | 652.93$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 604.41$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 595.52$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 46c | 530.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 3c | 474.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 329$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 203.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 37c | 179.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 177.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 64c | 151.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 138.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 136.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Under | 46c | 130.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 109.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Under | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 49c | 103.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Over | 40c | 102.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 50c | 96.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 44c | 95.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Under | 53c | 93.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…8a00backed Under | 51c | 59.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 56.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 31.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 64c | 21.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 59c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 59c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.