Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b5ff590674ec48cf78883d2f59ddaa0a1b41a4f4b2f6b63a1f0b86aeca504c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 43c | 40,140$17,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,257.45 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 22,483$12,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.41 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 972.66$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.15 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 57c | 801$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 787.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 44c | 569.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 563.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 524.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 61c | 337.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Under | 39c | 306.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 230.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 222$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 212.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 55c | 199.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 178.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 176.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 153.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 80c | 147.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 57c | 127.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 123.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 106.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 79.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 64c | 60.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 59.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 56c | 52.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 60c | 42.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 56c | 41.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Under | 38c | 32.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Over | 63c | 25.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 76c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 57c | 19.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 17.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.