Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3094f075f454905d16fe2967b82bf40e0b1b4d71317bcc44cd2561200d9764a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mezaof Roncadelli, Meza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Roncadelli | 23c | 2,689$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.31 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Roncadelli | 31c | 1,851$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Meza | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Meza | 74c | 1,757$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Meza | 75c | 1,514$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.63 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Meza | 76c | 1,355$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Meza | 78c | 908.67$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Roncadelli | 26c | 893.61$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Roncadelli | 24c | 799.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Meza | 76c | 791.63$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Roncadelli | 25c | 781.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Roncadelli | 26c | 750$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Meza | 75c | 620.61$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Roncadelli | 25c | 464.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Roncadelli | 26c | 428.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Roncadelli | 26c | 360$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Roncadelli | 25c | 353$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Meza | 65c | 303.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Meza | 76c | 228$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Roncadelli | 25c | 219.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Meza | 72c | 209.72$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Meza | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Roncadelli | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Roncadelli | 29c | 197.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Meza | 79c | 175.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…c8f2backed Roncadelli | 26c | 171.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Roncadelli | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Roncadelli | 21c | 141.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Roncadelli | 25c | 141.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Meza | 77c | 137.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Roncadelli | 25c | 117.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Roncadelli | 33c | 114.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Roncadelli | 18c | 106.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Roncadelli | 28c | 102.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Meza | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Roncadelli | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Meza | 70c | 79.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Meza | 52c | 78.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…9a19backed Roncadelli | 25c | 72.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Meza | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Meza | 75c | 68.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Meza | 75c | 68.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Meza | 59c | 68.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Meza | 69c | 66.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Meza | 59c | 61.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Roncadelli | 24c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Roncadelli | 25c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Roncadelli | 25c | 49.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…0df7backed Roncadelli | 26c | 49.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Meza | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Roncadelli | 24c | 42.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Roncadelli | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Roncadelli | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Meza | 68c | 30.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Meza | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Meza | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Meza | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Meza | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.