CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0060df0df4021d40debe4c65a8c1c1fb56f381fdf823bd7c28f6fd836688a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Vasco Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vasco Esports | 54c | 655.77$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 58c | 562.82$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vasco Esports | 43c | 508.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 48c | 398.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vasco Esports | 54c | 326.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vasco Esports | 51c | 274.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Keyd | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vasco Esports | 31c | 254.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Keyd | 57c | 204.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Keyd | 47c | 188$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Keyd | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vasco Esports | 30c | 155.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Vasco Esports | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Keyd | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Vasco Esports | 21c | 126.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vasco Esports | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vasco Esports | 12c | 112.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd | 58c | 108.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Keyd | 56c | 104.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Keyd | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Vasco Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Keyd | 55c | 99.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Vasco Esports | 43c | 82.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Vasco Esports | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Keyd | 46c | 62.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Keyd | 47c | 57.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 56.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Keyd | 45c | 54.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 70c | 50.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Vasco Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Keyd | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Keyd | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 44c | 37.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed Keyd | 57c | 30.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 57c | 30.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Keyd | 76c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 22.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vasco Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.