NBA · resolved market
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28605ec5dfc1c676c57e2192a82e2b8cefe500202fdcd30c6d667598155a46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 59c | 1,559$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.32 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 65c | 1,052$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…1648backed Yes | 38c | 863.47$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 63c | 760.93$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked No | 67c | 746.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 41c | 721.78$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…036ebacked Yes | 36c | 698.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 685.42$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Yes | 37c | 547$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes | 41c | 505$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…67bebacked Yes | 34c | 442.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…7656backed Yes | 38c | 333.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…309fbacked Yes | 36c | 332.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 36c | 279.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -14.1wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 57c | 260$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…ec95backed Yes | 41c | 189.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…f2e0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 60c | 96.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…12bbbacked Yes | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…3575backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 50c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 76 | 73.7%56 W · 20 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 57c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 68c | 33.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 60c | 31.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…38e7backed Yes | 33c | 30.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 54c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…5488backed Yes | 46c | 28.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)Magic won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. SunsSuns won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.