TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Suns49c44,666$21,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,784.741,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Suns52c22,563$11,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,830.232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic48c15,625$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic50c14,662$7,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,36048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Magic50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic49c9,239$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns54c7,384$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Magic51c6,815$3,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.7642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic48c6,349$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x867c…4e27backed Magic54c6,129$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33960%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Magic50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic47c5,084$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Suns50c4,848$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4246657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns50c4,715$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Magic51c2,896$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.8619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns49c2,771$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic48c2,650$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Magic53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Magic51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic46c1,917$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns50c1,895$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.352,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns50c1,725$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.541,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic49c1,723$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.1448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Suns50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic50c1,172$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5861,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Magic49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Magic51c980.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Magic52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns53c888.94$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.42,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns45c882.96$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns53c800$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns49c632.79$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.152,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Magic48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns53c600$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d3…2b34backed Magic39c516.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Magic55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Magic48c416.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.062055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Suns48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic50c402.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.191,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Magic51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…fc16backed Magic51c375.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic50c365.05$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic48c355.07$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Suns50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Magic48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns46c295.34$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.561,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Suns51c288$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic50c285.31$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns45c243.46$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Magic48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Suns53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9561747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Suns50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Suns51c195.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Magic55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns51c152.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Magic50c148.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3919045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Magic50c137.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3216947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns52c134.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Magic50c126.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic41c125.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Magic54c124.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcad…5078backed Suns47c124.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.594052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns51c113.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Magic47c104.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Suns50c101$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Suns51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Magic51c94.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1a…f254backed Magic54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Suns48c87.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.515936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns50c84.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab02…4351backed Magic51c82.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Suns50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Suns51c75.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1caf…f649backed Magic54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Magic53c68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Magic54c67.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Suns49c66.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns49c64.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.073,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Magic44c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5217233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Magic52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309962.6%62 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Magic51c57.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Magic55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Magic49c54.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1adfbacked Suns38c52.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.136943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns68c50.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x731f…6d78backed Magic51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Magic53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Magic51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Suns50c42.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Suns47c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0934641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Magic51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic53c39.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Suns33c38.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Magic53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Suns48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7928943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Suns47c33.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8929351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Magic50c32.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0721748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Magic50c32.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.214050.7%71 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.