TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e2f…1adf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST6943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.79
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$38.81
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+115.5%+$69.29
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+160.6%+$32.13
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82.8%+$20.71
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Manitoba Moosebacked Iowa Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+107%+$14.98
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$25.65
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+89.1%+$22.27
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+135.5%+$85.34
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.01
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$32.67
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+57.2%+$11.44
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+54.3%+$28.26
Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$14.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.85
Will Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.8%+$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.